Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

AC Milan vs Parma - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 26

Serie A - Gameweek 26

Sunday, 22 Feb 2026 • 18:00

AC Milan

0 : 1

Parma

Goals

80'
0 : 1
Mariano Troilo
0 : 1
Mariano Troilo80'

Game Review

In a surprising turn of events in Serie A, Parma secured a narrow 1-0 victory over AC Milan at the San Siro on Sunday, February 22, 2026. The match was largely dominated by AC Milan in terms of possession and attempts, but it was Parma's resilience and a late strike from Mariano Troilo that decided the outcome. The game was tightly contested, with both teams struggling to create clear-cut chances in the first half. AC Milan, despite being the favorites, failed to capitalize on their home advantage. The match's pivotal moment came in the 80th minute when Mariano Troilo found the back of the net, delivering a crucial goal for Parma. This goal was enough to secure all three points for the visitors. AC Milan's manager made several substitutions in an attempt to change the game's dynamics, bringing on Ardon Jashari, Zachary Athekame, Niclas Fullkrug, Strahinja Pavlović, and Christopher Nkunku. However, these changes did not yield the desired effect as Milan struggled to break down a well-organized Parma defense. Parma's head coach also made tactical adjustments, introducing Jacob Ondrejka, Oliver Sørensen, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, and Nahuell Estévez to maintain their defensive solidity and counter-attacking threat. This result is a significant setback for AC Milan, who were looking to consolidate their position in the upper echelons of the Serie A table. For Parma, the victory provides a much-needed boost in their quest to climb the standings and avoid relegation battles. Post-match reactions highlighted the frustration within the AC Milan camp, as they were unable to convert their dominance into goals. Meanwhile, Parma's camp celebrated a well-executed game plan that paid off handsomely. Overall, this match serves as a reminder of the unpredictability of football, where even the underdogs can triumph with determination and strategic execution.

Lineups

AC Milan

PosPlayer
GK
Mike Maignan
DEF
Fikayo Tomori
DEF
Pervis Estupiñán
DEF
Koni De Winter
DEF
Davide Bartesaghi
MID
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
MID
Luka Modric
MID
Adrien Rabiot
FWD
Christian Pulisic
FWD
Rafael Leão
FWD
Alexis Saelemaekers

Substitutes

11'Ardon Jasharifor Ruben Loftus-Cheek
62'Niclas Fullkrugfor Christian Pulisic
62'Strahinja Pavlovićfor Pervis Estupiñán
85'Christopher Nkunkufor Ardon Jashari
85'Zachary Athekamefor Fikayo Tomori

Parma

PosPlayer
GK
Edoardo Corvi
DEF
Lautaro Valenti
DEF
Enrico Del Prato
DEF
Emanuele Valeri
DEF
Mariano Troilo
DEF
Sascha Britschgi
MID
Mandela Keita
MID
Christian Ordoñez
MID
Adrián Bernabé
FWD
Gabriel Espeto
FWD
Mateo Pellegrino

Substitutes

59'Oliver Sørensenfor Christian Ordoñez
59'Hans Nicolussi Cavigliafor Adrián Bernabé
76'Jacob Ondrejkafor Gabriel Espeto
90'Nahuell Estévezfor Mateo Pellegrino
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
2AC Milan2615924120+2154
D
W
W
D
L
12Parma2688101931-1232
L
L
W
W
W

Last Games

AC Milan

vsComo
1 - 1
@Pisa
2 - 1
@Bologna
3 - 0
@Roma
1 - 1
vsLecce
1 - 0

Parma

vsHellas Verona
2 - 1
@Bologna
1 - 0
vsJuventus
1 - 4
@Atalanta
0 - 4
vsGenoa
0 - 0

Head-to-Head

22 Feb 2026
AC Milan0 - 1Parma
22 Feb 2026AC Milan
0 - 1
Parma
08 Nov 2025
Parma2 - 2AC Milan
08 Nov 2025Parma
2 - 2
AC Milan
26 Jan 2025
AC Milan3 - 2Parma
26 Jan 2025AC Milan
3 - 2
Parma
24 Aug 2024
Parma2 - 1AC Milan
24 Aug 2024Parma
2 - 1
AC Milan

Serie A

Gameweek 26

20 Feb • 20:45
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
3 - 0
21 Feb • 15:00
Juventus
Como
0 - 2
21 Feb • 18:00
Lecce
Inter Milan
0 - 2
21 Feb • 20:45
Cagliari
Lazio
0 - 0
22 Feb • 12:30
Genoa
Torino
3 - 0
22 Feb • 15:00
Atalanta
Napoli
2 - 1
22 Feb • 18:00
AC Milan
Parma
0 - 1
22 Feb • 20:45
Roma
Cremonese
3 - 0
23 Feb • 18:30
Fiorentina
Pisa
1 - 0
23 Feb • 20:45
Bologna
Udinese
1 - 0

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.